After slogging through the grody reality of teams 30-20 and the mediocrity of teams 19-10… We make it to the nine legit contenders… or five good teams with no chance and four who could actually win a title… or eight good teams and the Lakers… depending on how you see it. Let’s get back into the countdown…
Tier 3: Involved… but not that involved…
9. Phoenix – We all keep waiting for the old canadian white guy to suddenly not be good, and it seems like it’s just not going to happen any time soon. In fact, you even hear “best year of Nash’s career” arguments… and they aren’t crazy, considering that his stats are no longer padded by D’Antoni-ball (see Duhon, Chris for example) and his PER is above 23 (an increase of 4+) for the season for only the third time in his career… and he was the MVP in both of the other two seasons. The Suns seem to have recovered well from the Terry Porter… we are going to try to become the Pistons even though our personnel is meant to run and gun… thing, as well as the Shaq experiment.

Grant Hill and Wife Tamia on the Cover of "Homes of Color"... about all Grant did between 1996 and 2009?
Gentry has these guys playing a more traditional way than we got with D’Antoni, but they are still as high octane as anybody else out there… and maybe even look like a real basketball team now with a glut of legit role players. Amare has been pretty solid this year (20+ PER, legit 20 and 10 guy) but he has some pretty obvious baggage: 1) He’s a huge long-term injury risk with those knees… 2) He is a terrible defensive player 3) He doesn’t really seem like much of a character guy… maybe he’s not at the Corey Maggette “Im just tryin to get my stats” level… but when was the last time you watched Amare and really thought he was a winner like Duncan or KG? 4) His contract is expensive; he’d be hard to trade, and teams are worried about him resigning if he comes in a trade… but, he is a young 20 and 10 guy who might just learn to play solid defense by his 10th NBA season (at which point he’d only be 29?)… and he threw down a Lebron-esque 27 PER in 07-08… so maybe Cleveland will try to use him to convince “Bron Bron” to stay? (note: this is a pretty awful idea. For Lebron to win a title, he needs to be on a team with a second best player who is one of the following in descending order of impact: 1) Elite Center 2) Elite Point Guard 3) Nasty 3 Point Guy / Lockdown Defender… all of which the team has halfaseedly tried to do over the years… getting Amare does little except make for awful chemistry… his destiny clearly seems to be big stats on a terrible team… so maybe he will go to GSW where nobody will ever ask him to defend anybody?) Anyhow, the Suns also get a ton from their roleplayers. While J-Rich is just an average well-sized shooting guard at this point (he takes way too many 3s and shoots a mediocre percentage)… and maybe only has a 75 inch vert in his old age of 28, but all of these guys are shooting above 40% from behind the arc: Channing Frye, Grant Hill, Goran Dragic, Jared Dudley, and of course Nash. Channing Frye, who clearly can’t rebound or bang or do any of that, fits perfectly on this team as a jump shooting center who is a total mismatch; Grant Hill seems to be healthy (part of the odd Sportsguy mythology of the Suns having the best training staff in the world), and is who he is… a really toolsy offensive player who plays smart and hard. It’s sick to see him playing well after about a decade of surgery. My only memory of Grant previously was him telling me to “Obey My Thirst” circa 1995… followed by a lot of season ending injuries;

Back When Sprite Cans looked like that...
The Duke/Pistons eras must have happened in another world. Dragic is one of those guys who you’d expect to be terrible… and was under the NBA equivalent of the mendoza line (a PER <10) last year, but he has become a legit backup point guard. Barbosa is the oddity. He alternates between really mediocre and great every year like he’s a picture of Jessica Simpson. Last year, he was sick… the year before that… average… year before that… sick. We are on a shit year in the cycle (<15 PER for the first time since 04)… even though his on court-off court splits are actually pretty good (probably because he is usually on the court with Nash… not Dragic). He just doesn’t look like the same explosive “Brazilian Blur” guy. Best random Sun: Louis Amundson – the white dude with the pony tail that you assume is some sort of Latvian eurotrasher… but actually is from Cali and went to UNLV. Gotta love awkward white dudes… and the Suns have them at that “not overdoing it like Utah” level… but let’s be honest for a second: Are these guys gonna beat Denver, LA, and the Spurs in the playoffs? Magic 8 Ball definitely throws down a “Signs point to No” on that one.
8. Orlando – Last year’s finals team… even if they got to the finals because of Celtics injuries/total punting on the season and downright weird series against Cleveland in which Mike Brown did his best Wade Phillips immitation… legitimately had an identity.

Is this girl giving JJ the Bird? Is JJ Smiling like this is an Enzyte ad?
It was Dwight inside taking up more space than anyone else in the league does down low while their tall wing players (Lewis, Hedo, Pietrus) bombed threes and their ball handlers (Alston, Lee, Nelson) played with a ton of energy. Stan Van threw in a couple JJ Reddick (overperforming this year) and Marcin Gortat cameos… and the chemistry was great. So Courtney Lee gets way overhyped over the course of the playoffs and goes to the Nets… Hedo likewise takes the money from fellow total sucker Toronto… and the Magic bring in Vince Carter’s festering corpse to “put them over the hump”… and sign a bunch of other random veterans like the retired “White Chocolate” Williams and Dallas’ Brandon Bass… in addition to overpaying to resign Gortat… because being the 8th best European white Center in the NBA means you best be gettin that money… Zoom ahead to the Magic this year… It’s not like the team has let anybody down 36-18 at the break, and maybe Stan Van is a genius for preserving his best guys for the playoffs, but this team… even more than Portland… plays so many damn dudes every single night that it’s simply not possible for the team to have any semblance of identity. The team has no clue who its point guard is: all of that Nelson then Alston then Nelson John Kerry flip-flopping that Stan Van threw down last year definitely wacked out chemistry… Nelson hasn’t been the same player since his injury (PER in the 13s this year vs projected to be in the 18s)… and White Chocolate has been much the better distributor thus far (I can barely still call him that given how suburban he looks now… his life has pretty much mirrored Matt Lillard in SLC Punk! to a tee… his supressed wiggerdom is almost as depressing as when Birdman goes no mohawk). Side Note: If White Chocolate wins a title with the Magic to go with his title with the Heat on top of playing at UF, does he become the greatest basketball player in Florida history?… he may already be the greatest white one. Then from the 2 to the 4 on the squad, you have: Redick, Anderson (both surprisingly effective but obviously “low ceiling” guys), Pietrus, Barnes (07 Warriors takeover… so clearly “athletic but not living up to their potential”), Vinsanity (remember when he was sick and dunked over that French dude… and then retired from competitive basketball despite still playing for a decade?), and Rashard Lewis (now steroid free… but maybe was better with Hedo around).

A Long Time Ago in A Galaxy Far Far Away...
As for their backup bigs, Gortat and Bass both get payed like 6th or 7th men… but both barely ever play and average abotu 4 points a game? I know you can’t really be mad at a team for preserving their guys for the playoffs or for “being able to do a ton of different things”… but what do the Magic do best? who is their crunch time guy? is Dwight Howard ever going to develop a multidimensional offensive game? is Stan Van Gundy going to continue to be a hilarious Ron Jeremy impersonator? is Stan Van going to continue to be so creepy/bitter in his Ron Jeremy impersonations that I can’t even enjoy the real Ron Jeremy on VH1 anymore? A lot to ponder…
7. Atlanta – After four years or so of having this core group of guys starting (Bibby/Crawford aside), it seems like the Hawks’ patience with Mike Woodson (rich man’s Mike Brown… for what that is worth) and all of their “raw athletic guys with a lot of upside” has really worked out. Al Horford has gone from an above average 10 and 10 guy to a legitimately good 10 and 10 guy (even if he’s not a center); Joe Johnson… though definitely always stinking a little bit of Michael Redd “I’m gonna just take tons of perimeter shots whether or not it actually helps my team” syndrome… has had one of his best years ever (shocking that this is a contract year… this never happens)… Jamaal Crawford has gone from being a “token average NBA guard” to suddenly crushing game winners and becoming a Jason Terry-esque 6th Man of the Year type threat… Mike Bibby has been solid as usual (but doesn’t it suddenly feel like everyone from the good Arizona 2000ish teams are suddenly really old?)… and Josh Smith is all of the sudden among the best “I get stats doing anything and everything on the court imaginable” guys… like Kirilenko was at his peak… just a total freak of nature.

Josh Smith's "Raw Athleticism" finally paying off... The guy is so athletic that I thought he must have played for Calipari and not come straight out of HS.
The only problems with this squad: no depth, no center (love Zaza, but… he belongs on Maccabi Haifa or Olympiakos), and Marvin Williams… who has not only regressed this year, but is now basically playing on the wing because he isn’t good enough inside to be a PF… even though he’s not quick enough to play outside either so. Basically, the guy is a constant reminder that the team could have had Chris Paul. Imagine CP3 and this bunch running the floor? Only if the Saints took all of the New Orleans sports karma and we get a Hornets firesale… Still, this team has identity, talent, chemistry, and is among the most fun to watch in the league. Would I be surprised if they pull an 09 Magic and sneak in to the finals before getting clowned on by the Lakeshow? I’d say its a damn good bet.
6. San Antonio – Even for the most well run small market franchise in sports, it’s hard to win when you are keeping it together with a few old pieces of gum, some floss, and scotch tape (I’ve heard Scotch tape is an offensive racial slur… PC stuff going too far?).

Wishes he were "The Most Interesting Man in the World"...
Greg Popovich (experiments with facial hair involved) has really gone into Coach K mode… deciding that it’s just not fun to win when your players are better than the other team’s… or when you are even with the other team… but that it only really counts if you win with only dudes over 35, coming off of knee surgery, or straight out of the NBDL or Italian Serie A. The team had a rare miss with the Richard Jefferson deal (example of really old Arizona guy), but had a classic Spurs win by getting DeJuan Blair in the 2nd round (should keep a lot of minutes off of TD)… the problem is: how many guys on this squad are championship level dudes – Duncan (clearly), Parker (could start on a championship team still… but would need lots of help), Ginobli (6th man on a championship team… couldn’t be the 3rd best guy), and Blair (rotation guy). Finley is too old to be effective… the same goes for Mcdyess (this sounds like we are breaking down the 1996 draft right now)… and Mason and Hill may be token Spurs roleplayers, but don’t we all know they kind of suck? We all know that all that matters with these guys is “being healthy come playoff time”… but even so, is team the 2nd best in the West when they are firing at all cylinders? That argument gets tougher and tougher to make every year. To summarize 3 years in the NBA: The Pistons have disappeared; The Spurs have become the Pistons; The Celtics have become the Spurs; The Lakers have become the Celtics. Here’s to the cycle.
5. Dallas – YEAH WE JUST SIGNED THE LAPTOP STEALING GUY. YALL ARE F-ED NOW!!!!! THEY EVEN THREW IN THE GUY WHO WE ONLY KNOW FOR TRYING TO CALL OUT LEBRON AND THEN GETTING CLOWNED ON!! AND BRENDAN HAYWOOD – I MEAN… HE WAS ALMOST AS GOOD AS ED COTA ON THE 98 HEELS!

Haywood's Dogtags are like 2 feet long.... If that's the first thing you noticed in this picture, well...
WE HAVE TO BE WEST FAVORITES NOW! The only important part about this trade… basically swapping Josh Howard for Caron Butler (losing a little on defense and in mid-range for a better outside inside guy) in addition to getting a worthless bad contract (Stevenson)… is without question the addition of Haywood, who gives Dallas a guy to “spell Eric Dampier’s minutes” and have a 2nd legit big man (note: good teams don’t have guys “spell” Eric Dampier… good teams don’t have Eric Dampier). In theory, this team whips out a crunch time 5 of Kidd-Terry-Caron-Dirk-Haywood/Dampier or Kidd-Terry-Caron-Matrix-Dirk if they want to go small, and that’s a pretty solid crew, but that’s also the kind of team that is built to win a title in 2005 more than in 2010. Sean Marion (jersey #0… maybe the NBA should just retire “Agent Zero” league wide… it’s not cool… not a number… I just don’t get it… it’s the number you take when you want to be “that guy” but 69, 99, and 00 were taken) has not so quietly become a mediocre player given that his athleticism was really what made him good… and now he’s old… and Jason Terry has gone from being a clutch 6th man type to being a second option… which is perhaps a sign that nobody else has stepped up. At this point, the Kidd trade looks like a win given the disappearance of Devin Harris and that the old man can still play pretty good ball, but who are the backup guards on this team? JJ Barea (flukey couple of years… will be out of the league soon) and Rodrigue Beaubois… a “raw prospect” if you know what I mean. Kobe may say this is the team to beat now that they have Caron and Haywood, but that’s just the kind of modest, self-effacing talk we expect to get out of “Black Mamba”… (He’s totally full of shit).
Tier 2: If They Can Show Up in the Playoffs…
4. Boston – These guys have really gone into “all that matters is that our core guys have enough in the tank come playoff time” mode much like the Spurs have done for the past few years, but much like has always been the problem with this move for San Antonio, you have to wonder if these guys can just turn it on and have enough… The problem with this team is that the “Big 3″ just don’t dominate the action like they did when they won the title.

They let Marquis Daniels onto the Pacers?
As a viewer, a lot of Celtics games are spent being scared of how thug Marquis Daniels looks… wondering why Tony Allen is still on the team… trying to remember the name of “Landlord” Williams’ wife… or making fun of Brian Scalabrine in any way possible. Here’s the thing though: these guys have to know that their window is closed after this year and that we may get insane freakshow alien out of those Gatorade Rain commercials KG, Shuttlesworth at his most clutch (Ray Allen also was in “Harvard Man” apparently), and maybe even some big Paul Pierce performances come playoffs? Do you really think KG is going to let the Hawks take him out of his last legit shot to get a title? We’re talking about the most intense guy of the generation… a guy who gets so freaked out and crazy during games that you feel physically threatened through the TV screen. I just can’t believe they just go away like people claim they already have…
3. Denver – When the Nuggets look back on this “golden age” in ten or twenty years (this just doesn’t happen very often), they will ask themselves: “Why did we never once try to sign a starting shooting guard instead of relying on cheap crappy young guys or J.R. Smith’s indiscriminate 3 point launching off of the bench?” Denver has so many reasons to be a championship level squad: A Top 5 NBA Player at his peak (Melo), a 2nd Superstar who knows his role and plays really hard (Chauncey), really quality veteran bigs (Nene and K-Mart), a fan favorite energy guy (Birdman), a streak shooter who can win games for you (J.R. Smith), and a mismatch change of pace ball handler (Ty Lawson), but at the 2, the Nugs have been rolling with Anthony Carter/Aaron Afflalo/Joey Graham?

Billups In Highschool in Denver sometime after Fresh Prince was cool...
This team already scores a ton… why have they not tried to go out and get an elite lockdown perimeter defender type dude at the 2… like a Shane Battier? Denver’s 1-2 punch of Melo/Billups is almost on par with Kobe/Pau… and Denver has a lot of guys that match up well with the Lakers (numbers in the frontcourt to keep the Lakers bigs out of rhythm and a guy in Lawson who is a lot like Aaron Brooks… who the Lakers couldn’t guard at all last year in the playoffs)… and Denver has played the Lakers well thus far this year, but does this Denver team beat a healthy Lakers team? There’s no real reason why they can’t… but they just won’t. As great as Denver has been, don’t they seem a little “happy to be here” not sucking for the first extended period in a long time? We were all thinking it…
2. Cleveland – Remember that time Cavs fans were supposed to be psyched about that big Jamario Moon signing (black Italian fellow?)? Cleveland’s strategy of getting a “supporting cast” for Lebron has always been to claim to have solved its problems… but actually not do so much. They get names: Shaq, Ben Wallace, Wally Sczerbiak… but they’ve never actually gone out and got anybody who is both a great player at his peak… and a winner. Neither Amare or Antawn Jamison fits that bill, but Jamison at least seems like the kind of guy who could be a 4th best guy on a championship team.

The NBA: All about Family... (not guns, rap records, expiring contracts, or shoe deals)
My expectation is that Amare goes to the Cavs, and Lebron leaves anyway… allowing Amare to score 25 and 10 on an awful team for the rest of his career. As for the team this year, Lebron decided after an “energy preserving” (lazy) first month of the season to go batshit crazy out there, and he’s a lock for the MVP just because of how huge his imprint on the game is (far greater than any other player in the league). He directly affects every possession on both ends whenever he is on the court… something Kobe, Nash, DWADE, Melo, and Dirk just don’t do. I know they’ve beaten them convincingly twice this year, but tell me what favors the Cavs here: Mo Williams taking contested jumpshots when people actually play hard defense in the playoffs… Kobe going against the Cavs stellar 2 guards: Delonte West and Anthony Parker… Lebron spending half of his energy jawing with a legitimately crazy Ron Artest… Pau/Odom/Bynum making Shaq/Big Z look like real stiffs… Mike Brown vs Phil Jackson…
Bron’s destiny is to break the Clipper curse… let’s just accept it.
Tier 1: The Prohibitive Favorite
1. The Lakers – Kobe Bryant is my favorite player in the NBA (other than gimmick white guys like Birdman, AK47, Kyle Korver, and White Chocolate… who are really in a league of their own). How this happened? I have no idea.

Sure he's just trying to be cool, but it's still a damn funny picture.
He’s awkward, toolish, D-Baggish, a total cock, has movies like “Doin Work” made about him, was accused of rape a little while ago, has sex moves he refers to as “his thing”, and calls himself “Black Mamba” (one of the biggest toolbag nicknames out there… you know you’re a tool if your nickname is what you get when you ask your bro: “hey bro, what’s the most badass animal you could be named after?”)… but he has somehow become my favorite player in the entire league. Why? On some level, I think it is probably just because we have spent so much time together. I remember using him as my player in NBA Live 97 when he rocked the #8, the Show was at the Great Western Forum, and Nick Van Exel and Eddie Jones were peripherally involved.

NVE: Another DBag who had to get a title with the Spurs...
Crazy as it sounds though, it’s really about respect. The guy works so hard and really has earned everything that he has achieved. I guess I can’t help it if I want to see him lead a 2nd Lakers Dynasty and stake his claim as one the 5 Best ever… The team also has: the most “skilled” (watch and you’ll know exactly what this means – he clowns on everyone doing all the little things) big man in the game in Gasol, a young big with a huge ceiling (Bynum), an unsung Kardashian inlaw whose basketball skills are constantly being forgotten (Odom), a sneaky good young bench guy (Shannon Brown), a veteran core of awkward dudes who aren’t terrible (Farmar, Fisher), and the 100% craziest guy in the league (this is a good thing… see Rodman, Dennis) in Ron Artest. Additionally, Phil has decided to not give minutes to Luke Walton and Sasha “The Machine” Vujacic… which is good, because they are bad at basketball. Even with an injured Kobe, this team was able to absolutely maul a Utah team that had won 10 in a row and really had moves to the top of the West. Kobe will be ready to go come playoff time, and it’d be hard to believe that he would ever let one of these other 29 teams beat him four times…
But then again, did you see that whole 04 Pistons thing coming?
The NBA: Where “NBA Cares”/Thugs Make Bank/No Defense in the 1st,2nd,3rd… okay 4th Quarter/Regular Season Games that dont matter and have 20 people watching/Trades have to include salary dumps/ Amazing happens.
Football is over. It’s about time we start watching.
Word,
Nick